It begins when the trade winds mysteriously weaken or even reverse direction , which lets the stationary Pacific surface water keep absorbing heat as it bobs in place. But since ENSO can have such crippling effects, our ability to predict its outbursts is needed to protect places like the U. Another began in late and peaked the following winter. But there are still limits to what climatologists can predict. Sometimes we see that and sometimes we don't. Southeast and Southwest, more hurricanes in the Atlantic, and a powerful polar jet stream that drives Arctic air masses southeast from Alaska, sending them sweeping across North America. When it hits high-pressure zones at the Americas, it pulls a and flows back west near the water's surface as trade winds.
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